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Post by whollygoats on Mar 1, 2016 15:29:51 GMT
Paddipower's betting odds on the Democrats winning have gone from 4/5 last month to 1/2 today (a bet of £10 won £8 last month but only £5 now). I'm not a regular, or particularly open-handed, gambler, so I'm not particularly familiar with contest odds. I'm interpreting this (the winnings falling) to mean that the odds, according to Paddipower, have improved for the Democrats, no matter who they run. Is that a correct interpretation?
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Post by tangent on Mar 1, 2016 18:14:34 GMT
Yes, you're right, the odds on the Democrats winning have improved. I'm not a gambler but I like to see what other people think are the odds sometimes.
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Post by whollygoats on Mar 1, 2016 22:49:18 GMT
Yeah, thanks. I understand, but evidently I'm relatively easily confused by posted odds.
For some reason, I never got the hang of it, despite extensive statistics and probability training.
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Post by Moose on Mar 2, 2016 1:52:59 GMT
Me either .. I got those odds the wrong way round
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Post by kingedmund on Mar 2, 2016 5:02:49 GMT
From what I understand people said the same about Roosevelt some 80 years ago. Not that I keep up with anything at the moment.
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Post by tangent on Mar 2, 2016 12:28:55 GMT
Twitter user Louisa Preston tweets,
"Dear America: this whole Trump for President was fun, we have all had a laugh, but the rest of the world is starting to get worried now"
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Post by Moose on Mar 3, 2016 23:17:43 GMT
Quite.
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Post by jayme on Mar 6, 2016 2:06:46 GMT
Sanders and Cruz have won in Kansas. *pops champagne*
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Post by tangent on Mar 6, 2016 6:20:03 GMT
Sanders has Nebraska and Cruz has Maine. This is getting really interesting.
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Post by whollygoats on Mar 6, 2016 14:11:37 GMT
Okay...I want to note that in Kansas and Nebraska, Sanders won both states with a 17 delegate gain because of the distribution. Then, look at Louisiana, which is between the Kansas and Nebraska and note that after the distribution of delegates, Clinton had a 25 delegate disparity over Sanders. That's a net gain of about ten delegates for Clinton for the three states. Her win in one state more than counterbalanced his win in two states that day. With incremental gains like that, Clinton will chip away at scraping together enough delegates for the nomination. Here is a great site to see the delegate counts = www.google.com/search?q=2016+presidential+primaey+results&ie=utf-8&oe=utf-8#eob=m.09c7w0/D/3/full/m.09c7w0/Sanders will have to make some damned convincing showings in large populace 'chilly' states.
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Post by tangent on Mar 6, 2016 17:03:36 GMT
Sure, I realize that but Sanders is making gains few people expected two months ago.
Thanks for the link.
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Post by Moose on Mar 6, 2016 18:52:27 GMT
I wonder who would win if he came head to head with Trump? Though it's starting to look like that's unlikely. Cruz versus Hilary?
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Post by tangent on Mar 6, 2016 19:19:52 GMT
Nationwide opinion polling suggests that Bernie Sanders would easily win against either Trump or Cruz but Hillary Clinton would be less likely to do so and could lose to Cruz.
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Post by whollygoats on Mar 7, 2016 14:27:25 GMT
The high-reputation journal of international politics and culture, Current Affairs, had this interesting article about what the author thinks needs to happen vis a vis a Trump nomination by the Republican Party.
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Post by whollygoats on Mar 7, 2016 14:42:39 GMT
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Post by jayme on Mar 7, 2016 23:13:02 GMT
I want my free pony!
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Post by whollygoats on Mar 8, 2016 14:26:15 GMT
Hey....I want to thank you Brits for giving us (or loaning us) John Oliver to anchor This Week Tonight. That's because he produces commentary like this.
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Yuki
Senior members
Posts: 632
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Post by Yuki on Mar 9, 2016 15:53:56 GMT
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Post by tangent on Mar 9, 2016 18:04:33 GMT
Hey....I want to thank you Brits for giving us (or loaning us) John Oliver to anchor This Week Tonight. That's because he produces commentary like this. The video isn't available in the UK but I've seen some of his other videos and they're down to earth and straight to the point.
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Post by whollygoats on Mar 10, 2016 0:20:39 GMT
Surprise upset for Bernie in Michigan.
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Post by Moose on Mar 10, 2016 4:05:27 GMT
Yuki I just read through all of those. Whilst some were positive most were not. I am not a terribly good judge of character I guess but Trump makes my skin crawl
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Post by kingedmund on Mar 10, 2016 5:35:54 GMT
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Post by whollygoats on Mar 10, 2016 16:11:05 GMT
Yuki I just read through all of those. Whilst some were positive most were not. I am not a terribly good judge of character I guess but Trump makes my skin crawl Well, yeah. Me, too. The thing is, Cruz makes my skin crawl further faster.
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Post by Miisa on Mar 10, 2016 19:47:29 GMT
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Post by Alvamiga on Mar 10, 2016 22:29:47 GMT
I've seen John Oliver and his take on the American way of life is usually right on the mark from what I've seen. It often takes an outsider to look at something, point at it and say "What the hell is going on with that?"
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Post by jayme on Mar 12, 2016 5:46:13 GMT
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Post by Moose on Mar 12, 2016 20:03:15 GMT
I gather that there was a protest outside his Chigaco rally.
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Post by tangent on Mar 12, 2016 20:53:57 GMT
There's a possibility some Sanders fans may be drawn into the fray, which would be very damaging.
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Post by kingedmund on Mar 14, 2016 5:54:15 GMT
May I dye it pink? Hot Pink! Then braid the tail?
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Post by jayme on Mar 14, 2016 11:53:52 GMT
May I dye it pink? Hot Pink! Then braid the tail? I'll be disappointed if you don't.
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